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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • When this country was founded, tariff revenue was enough to fund the entire federal government. Those days are long gone, and they’re not coming back.

    Nowadays, there are basically two reasons to play the tariff game. 1. Extract tariff concessions from your trading partners, and 2. Encourage domestic production. The problem is, if you’re going for #1, you have to be willing to drop your tariffs at the drop off a hat to make a deal. If you’re playing #2, the people that build factories and whatnot want assurances that the tariff supports will be in place for years and years.

    So you can see that there’s an inherent trade-off between #1 and #2. To some extent, you cannot serve both masters. But Trump has been playing both strategies at the same time without a care in the world. There are… consequences… to doing that, which I am sure we will all get to experience.

    Edit: okay, okay. This Bolsonaro thing is a brand new strategy #3 which I’m calling… Oh geez… I gotta go buy some more beer.


  • Encrypted data channels can still be vulnerable to man in the middle attacks. Like when you connect to an unknown host with SSH, and the client pops up a big warning.

    In this case, ICE or whomever sets up a “valid” cell tower that your phone connects to, and they (law enforcement) route your packets onto the rest of the Internet. They can decrypt the 5G data, and see all of the IP headers. They can’t necessarily read the TLS traffic, such as https. But most important of all, they can log all of the IMEIs that connect, which effectively gives them a database of all of the protestors.








  • This lawsuit is on a really narrow ground: the law says that when the president calls up a state guard into federal service, the orders must issue through the state governor.

    In this case, the President wrote the words “Through: The Governor of California” at the top of the memos. But he never actually sent anything to Gavin Newsom, or gave California any formal notice at all.

    This suit also doesn’t challenge the active duty marines, which are indisputably under Trump’s chain of command. But they can’t do domestic law enforcement unless the Insurrection Act is invoked (it hasn’t, formally).



  • He was deported to Mexico (illegally), but he’s a citizen of Guatemala. After that, he travelled from Mexico to Guatemala on his own. So his return to US was facilitated from Guatemala.

    For all we really know the agreement with El Salvador is a guaranteed one way deal that we pay them to handle and they’re refusing to play ball beyond that.

    This seems to be the party line in the sealed ex parte filings that have been presented to judges. I’ve also seen allegations that the deal is a handshake deal only–nothing in writing.

    Judge Boasberg at least is taking them at their word, with some strong warnings about perjury.







  • In normal flight, the pressure differential between the inside and outside is pushing the doors against the frame with thousands of pounds of force. So it’s not possible to open the door.

    If you really want to go sky diving, then be sure to dump the cabin (button is on the flight deck) to equalize the pressures. It will also help to slow down below normal cruising speed. If you do dump the cabin, keep the altitude below 15,000 feet or make an emergency descent to that level. Hypoxia is a beast.



  • But then who says what the statutes that Congress passed mean…?

    In this case, the court has determined that notices in English only, that give a 24 hour deadline, with no information about how to contact an attorney, are illegal. That amount of notice is not due process as guaranteed by the 5th amendment of the Constitution.

    The constitution overrides all parts of federal law, including the Alien Enemies Act. There is no power to suspend the constitution here. Not even a war power. The constitution applies to the plaintiffs in this case, because they are in the territory of the United States. Full stop.

    The government has argued to the court, without citing any specific clause of the constitution, that the President enjoys broad “war powers” that prevent the court from looking into any aspect of what the administration is doing here. The court has clearly rejected that argument* with respect to the 5th amendment concerns.

    So that is what the law is, and that’s what the law is not. That’s a final decision.

    *The court has not decided yet on whether the government can use this reasoning to block any interpretation of the meaning of the words “invasion” or “predatory incursion.” The lower courts that have ruled are something like 4 or 5 to 1, on the side that the judiciary can interpret those words.

    EDIT: Actually, I think the one judge that ruled for the AEA proclamation did so by interpreting “invasion” by looking it up in a dictionary. She just used a modern dictionary, while the others have been using 1798 dictionaries.