I honestly think it sure will. People will probably go in 3 directions:
- Mastodon
- Wait for Bluesky
- Wait for Instagram “Threads”
Honestly, if people go fediverse way, they definitely should choose something like Misskey/Calckey. They’re much better options than mastodon IMO
I doubt it, at least for the people that actually “matter” and have huge followings or use twitter for promotion and their businesses. However, I hope it’s enough to at least get them to crosspost to mastodon? I’ve seen smaller content creators start to do it so maybe it catches on.
Twitter wont die overnight (no matter how funny that would be), the best we can hope for is gradual shifting elsewhere.