I honestly think it sure will. People will probably go in 3 directions:
- Mastodon
- Wait for Bluesky
- Wait for Instagram “Threads”
Honestly, if people go fediverse way, they definitely should choose something like Misskey/Calckey. They’re much better options than mastodon IMO
I believe this will increase the fediverse population, but ultimately I see a new centralized service emerging soon. Though, I do hope the fediverse becomes the prominent place for social content!
A lot of people seem to be going to blue sky, but I don’t really see what the point is of moving to something else that’s run by a single company again. Mastodon seems better when it comes to future proofing.
Their resistance to anything that resembles a discovery algorithm kind of sucks tho. I know they can be bad in the wrong hands, but it would be nice to see who else is on there and what everyone is talking about.