A Washington-based married coupleā€™s challenge to an obscure provision of the 2017 Republican tax law has the potential to become ā€œthe most important tax case in a century,ā€ with far-reaching implications for federal revenues, key social programs, and Congressā€™ constitutional authority to impose levies on income.

Thatā€™s according to a new report released Wednesday by the Roosevelt Institute and the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP).

The policy groups estimated that if the conservative-dominated U.S. Supreme Court sides with the plaintiffs in Moore v. United Statesā€”which the justices are set to take up in Decemberā€”nearly 400 multinational corporations could collectively receive more than $270 billion in tax relief, further enriching behemoths such as Apple, Microsoft, Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson, and Google.

The Roosevelt Institute and ITEP also found that Chief Justice John Roberts and Associate Justice Samuel Alito own stock in 19 companies that are poised to receive a combined $30 billion in tax breaks if the judges strike down the 2017 lawā€™s mandatory repatriation tax, a one-time levy targeting earnings that multinational corporations had piled up overseas.

But the case could have impacts well beyond a repeal of the repatriation tax, which was projected to generate $340 billion in federal revenue over a decade.

Depending on the scope of the justicesā€™ decision, the new report argues, the Supreme Court could ā€œsuddenly supplant Congress as a major American tax policymaker, putting at legal jeopardy much of the architecture of laws that prevent corporations and individuals from avoiding taxes, and introducing great uncertainty about our democracyā€™s ability to tax large corporations and the most affluent.ā€

ā€œAt the best of times, blowing a $340 billion hole in the federal budget would be catastrophic,ā€ Matt Gardner, a senior fellow at ITEP and a co-author of the new report, said in a statement. ā€œAnd if the court invalidates the transition tax in its Moore decision, thatā€™s exactly what would happen: possibly the costliest Supreme Court decision of all time. And it would be hard to identify a less deserving set of tax cut beneficiaries than the companies that would reap at least $271 billion from repealing this tax.ā€

Charles and Kathleen Moore brought their challenge to the repatriation provision after they were hit with a roughly $15,000 tax bill stemming from their stake in an Indian farm equipment company. As the Tax Policy Center recently observed, the Indian firm is a ā€œcontrolled foreign corporation (CFC), or a foreign corporation whose ownership or voting rights are more than 50% owned by U.S. persons who each own at least 10%.ā€

The Mooresā€™ cause has been championed by billionaire-backed organizations and corporate lobbying groups, including the Manhattan Instituteā€“which is chaired by billionaire hedge fund mogul Paul Singerā€”and the powerful U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

ā€œThat such a case involving such modest sums would make it all the way to the high court indicates that there is much more at play than a single familyā€™s tax refund,ā€ ITEPā€™s Gardner and Spandan Marasini and the Roosevelt Instituteā€™s Niko Lusiani note in the new report.

The plaintiffsā€™ legal team argues that because the Mooresā€™ shares in the Indian firm were not ā€œrealizedā€ā€”they did not sell or receive a distribution from the companyā€”they should not have been on the hook for the repatriation tax.

ā€œThe government, on the other hand, argues that almost a century of tax law precedent has established Congressā€™ broad authority to decide when and how to tax income, even without a specific realization event,ā€ the new report explains. ā€œWhatā€™s more, the income was clearly realized by the corporation, which is sufficient for income taxation of shareholders under various provisions of the existing tax code.ā€

While itā€™s possible that the Supreme Court will rule narrowly on the specifics of the Mooresā€™ situation, the report authors cautioned that the justices ā€œcould also issue a broad decision that taxing incomeā€”of an individual or a corporate shareholderā€”requires realization, and that income taxation on multiple years of accrued income is unconstitutional.ā€

Such a sweeping ruling could preemptively ban a wealth taxā€”an outcome that right-wing supporters of the Moores have explicitly advocated.

ā€œThis case presents the court with an ideal opportunity to clarify that taxes on unrealized gains, such as wealth taxes, are direct taxes that are unconstitutional if not apportioned among the states,ā€ the Manhattan Institute declared in a May amicus brief.

A broad ruling by the high court could also imperil key elements of the existing tax code, according to ITEP and the Roosevelt Institute.

ā€œOne of the most established of these pillars is known as Subpart F, which was enacted in 1962 to prevent American corporations from avoiding taxation through offshore entities or controlled foreign corporations,ā€ the new report says. ā€œProvisions related to Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income (GILTI), the branch profits tax; tax treatment of corporate debt; and others could be uprooted by five justices.ā€

ā€œThe Corporate Alternative Minimum Taxā€”enacted as part of the Inflation Reduction Act to create a basic corporate tax floorā€”as well as international efforts to curb international tax avoidance could be made constitutionally invalid,ā€ the report adds.

The analysis stresses that the consequences of a broad ruling in the upcoming case would be profound, affecting more than just a handful of corporate tax provisions.

ā€œIn Moore,ā€ the report warns, ā€œthe Roberts Court could decide with the stroke of a pen to simultaneously forgive big business decades of tax dues, increase the federal deficit over the long run, jeopardize future public revenue and essential social programs, escalate these multinational companiesā€™ already sizeable after-tax profits, and further enrich their shareholders.ā€

  • theotherone@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    If they are installing themselves as such an influence, Iā€™m sure it come as no surprise when the torches and pitchforks come out. The legislature is too broken to deal with this. It will literally be the end of their lifetime appointments. Sadly

    • cmbabul@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Iā€™ve felt this way for a while but unfortunately each day makes me more sure that one way or another some sort of civil conflict is inevitable for the US. Thereā€™s so many damn inflection points where we could easily spiral into chaos. This country simply must change top to bottom, and the longer that change, whatever form it may take, gets held back the bigger the bubble gets and itā€™s probably going to pop in a really devastating way.

      • Transient Punk@sh.itjust.works
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        1 year ago

        Iā€™m trying to prepare for all this by reading The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire.

        History doesnā€™t repeat, but it does rhyme

        • cmbabul@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          So the whole history repeats itself thing, is from the saying ā€œthose who donā€™t learn from history are doomed to repeat itā€ as far as I know. And as someone who majored in/attended some grad school for and is just generally interested in history and lore, the sad truth is that no one ever learns a goddamn thing from history. Over and over again a society somewhere on the planet arrives, improves the lives of people within it, if it isnā€™t destroyed or conquered by another society power begins to consolidate alongside quality of life improvements, power becomes entrenched and then subsequently abusive, life becomes intolerable in the those not in power and it either collapses/fractures or revolution happens. Weā€™re now in the unfortunate position of a societal collapse being our last one given the developments weā€™ve made this cycle and their repercussions

      • 0110010001100010@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Iā€™ve been feeling this for a bit now, as unfortunate as it is I donā€™t see this ending without violence. The lingering question remains, who actually ā€œwinsā€ when the dust settles. Win of course being a loose term as the country will be truly broken at that point.

        • cmbabul@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          No I take your meaning, Iā€™m not specifically advocating or endorsing what Iā€™m saying, I just donā€™t see a different way that seems in any way possible in the current climate. Some truly deus ex shit would have to happen for us to change course in any meaningful way. There wonā€™t be any winners, and the even more upsetting thing is a civil war 2 would be WWIII because of the implications of the(like it or not) global hegemony descending into such a conflict

        • WHYAREWEALLCAPS@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          The rich do. They always do. And before people go ā€œBut the guillotine!ā€ The French Revolution did not kill all the nobles and rich people, just those out of favor. And then the people who led the revolution became the new rich people. Even though they were rich people to begin with. If you think this all ends with anything other than a new name for the same old same old, youā€™re kidding yourself.